Oscar Predictions: On the Mark or Way Off?

29 February 2016
M-Net Movies looks at how accurate our stars' Oscar predictions were.
oscars academy awards

Before the 88th Academy Awards® took place, we asked some of our local stars to make a few predictions; and we’re impressed with how often they were on the mark. A few were not, but that’s all part of the fun! Take a look at what some of South Africa's top personalities had to say about this year's Oscars®; and if you missed the ceremony (or want to watch it again) tune into M-Net tonight (29 Feb) at 19:30.

When it came to Best Animated Feature, Claire Mawisa was spot on, predicting Inside Out. But we’re surprised she named Michael Fassbender as potential Best Actor. Leonardo DiCaprio has been the favourite all season long, having picked up the Golden Globe, SAG and BAFTA awards for his role in The Revenant.

However, considering his never-winning history with the Oscars (despite five previous nominations) we understand her hesitation. What’s more: if DiCaprio hadn’t been nominated this year, we agree Fassbender would probably have won. Interestingly, DiCaprio was offered the title role in Steve Jobs (which Fassbender was nominated for), but turned it down to work on The Revenant.


Darren Simpson hit it on the nose by correctly predicting Amy as Best Documentary Feature, and Writing’s on the Wall as Best Original Song. Although, after Lady Gaga’s rousing performance of her nominated song, ‘Til It Happens To You from The Hunting Ground, we were convinced she and Diane Warren would walk away with it instead.

The Revenant won Best Cinematography, as Derek Watts predicted; and truthfully, we also saw that one coming a mile away. Shot in Canada and Argentina, using only natural light, by Emmanuel Lubezki, the Mexican cinematographer has two previous Oscar wins under his belt – for Gravity and Birdman.

We also really thought Sylvester Stallone was going to walk away with Best Supporting Actor for reprising his role as Rocky Balboa, in Creed; but we weren’t too surprised at Mark Rylance's win, for Steven Spielberg-directed drama Bridge of Spies. It was a close race between the two actors all the way.

We’re a little surprised no one predicted Brie Larson as Best Actress. Like DiCaprio, she’s been picking up every award possible, for her role in Room. Lalla Hirayama was rooting for Jennifer Lawrence, and considering she’s an Oscars’ darling (having won once and been nominated four times), it’s not such a surprise.

As for red carpet couture? We wonder what Lalla’s thoughts were about the lookers and the stunners. From Jared Leto, Mark Ruffalo and Ryan Gosling to Charlize Theron, Sofía Vergara and Saoirse Ronan, the celebrities brought their A-game when it came to fashion and finery.

Owen Nkumane must be ecstatic that Mad Max: Fury Road did so well. It didn’t win in all the categories he named, but he was right about it “scoring big”. George Miller’s dystopian sci-fi won more Oscars than any other movie this year!

He called it! Riaan Cruywagen correctly predicted DiCaprio as Best Actor. The fact that all our stars made a different prediction for Best Picture proves how unpredictable the category was this year. There were strong contenders all round, as it’s been a great year at the movies; and we can’t wait to see what Hollywood has planned for 2016.

Get the full list of winners here